Economic Recovery

The Stress Test: A State-by-State Assessment of America's Economic Health and a Prescription for Change

Publication Type:

Report

Source:

Institute for America's Future (2008)

URL:

http://assets.ourfuture.org/documents/eco_20080513_stress_test.pdf

Keywords:

economic crisis; economic policy; economy

Abstract:

The Stress TestEconomists and politicians debate whether or not we’re technically in a recession, but most Americans feel we’ve been in a recession for years.

The Campaign for America’s Future has designed "The Stress Test" to show how the economy affects working families. By assessing the condition of the job market, housing, health care, and household costs on a state-by-state basis over time, "The Stress Test" illustrates the troubles families face. Use this report to talk about the real impact of conservative policies and need for a new, progressive economic strategy.

» Read the full report (PDF)

Full Text:

The Stress TestThe headlines scream bad news about the economy: Prices are high and rising; wages are not keeping up. Homes foreclose at a record pace. Gas prices are at record highs. While economists and politicians debate whether or not we’re technically in a recession, most Americans feel we’ve been in a recession for years. People know in their guts that something is wrong.

To show how the economy affects working families, The Campaign for America’s Future has designed an economic stress test. Assessing the condition of jobs, housing, health care, and household costs on a state-by-state basis over time, the CAF stress test illustrates the troubles families face and shows the way to solutions.

"The Stress Test" shows trouble across the board. It shows flat wages and rising costs. It shows more people without health insurance and the neglect of such established public responsibilities as state support for college education. It demonstrates overall economic mismanagement and it quantifies the general level of stress in this historically optimistic country.

Read the full report (PDF) | State stress test statistics

What "The Stress Test" Measures


Jobs

  • Unemployment rates and changes in unemployment rates (March 2000-March 2008)
  • Changes in the number of goods-producing and service-providing jobs (March 2000-March 2008)
  • Changes in available construction jobs (March 2000-2008)
  • Changes in available manufacturing jobs (March 2000-2008)
  • Changes in average weekly wage (Q3 2001-Q3 2007)

Costs and quality of life

  • People without health insurance, per 1,000 residents; rate and change over time; overall and employer-based (2000-2006)
  • Population spending 25 percent of pre-tax income on health care; rate and change (2000-2008)
  • Public college tuition as a percentage of income; rate and change over time (2000-2001 – 2006-2007)
  • Bankruptcy, per capita; rate and change over time (2006-2007)
  • Foreclosures, per capita (2007)
  • Average price of gas, change over time(January 2000-February 2008)
The Solutions


To relieve this economic stress, this report shows, we need a new economic strategy. We need to stop using tax dollars to bail out Wall Street bankers and start using public money to benefit the struggling middle class. This means the creation of new, good jobs here at home and a strategy for retaining knowledge and technology in America. We need to expand public investment in infrastructure as well as human capital in order to ensure the safety and well-being of all Americans. This includes investment in roads, bridges, education and health care. These reforms are the foundation for a new economy in which all Americans benefit.

The elements of the new direction include:

  • New Energy for America
    We should launch a concerted drive for energy independence, and put people to work building a green economy.

  • A National Strategy in the Global Economy
    We need a clear strategy for our nation in the global economy. The first step out of the hole we are in is to stop digging. No more NAFTAs, no more trade accords written by and for multinational corporations and banks.

  • Invest in People and Basics that Work
    We need to ensure our children have access to the best education in the world: universal pre-kindergarten, smaller classes in earlier grades, challenging after-school programs, and affordable college or advanced training. Invest in repairing roads and bridges, sewage systems and school buildings, ensuring that the jobs created are good jobs.

  • Health Care for All
    We need to revive the American Dream and help working families with the basics. We should start with health care reform, providing for all a guaranteed choice of health care, just as members of Congress have. Provide every business and individual with the option of either keeping their current private plan, if they like it, or the ability to buy into a high-quality public plan.

  • Sharing Prosperity
    We need to correct the imbalance between the top floor and the shop floor to ensure that profits and productivity are widely shared. Raise the floor – increase the minimum wage, guarantee workers paid sick days and family leave. Empower workers to organize, pass the Employee Free Choice Act, turn the National Labor Relations Board back into a watchdog for workers. Pass comprehensive immigration reform, gain control of our borders and enforce fair labor standards so employers can’t exploit undocumented workers.

Americans have a right to know how we can build a sustainable economy. Presidential candidates need to address the issues that are relevant to working Americans, refocusing national attention from the wants of Wall Street to the needs of Main Street. We can begin to relieve Americans’ economic stress by challenging candidates and elected officials to support and promote real solutions to real economic problems.

Minsky and Economic Policy: “Keynesianism” All Over Again?

Publication Type:

Report

Authors:

Éric Tymoigne

Source:

The Levy Economics Institute (2008)

URL:

http://www.levy.org/pubs/wp_547.pdf

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Is There Room For Fiscal Stimulus?

Publication Type:

Report

Authors:

John Maggs

Source:

NationalJournal.com (2008)

URL:

http://economy.nationaljournal.com/2008/10/is-there-room-for-fiscal-stimu.php

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Full Text:

As Washington turns to a new fiscal stimulus package, David Walker and others say that the case has never been stronger for a long-term budget deal that tackles entitlements, while Jamie Galbraith (with a nod from Paul Krugman) argues that the threat of an entitlement shortfall is a mirage. Considering the widening deficit, can we afford a stimulus of $300 billion or more? What can be done to ensure it works better than the one earlier this year, which was supposedly "timely, targeted and temporary," yet apparently was ineffective? Various experts sound off.

Building an Economic Recovery Package: Creating and Preserving Jobs in America

Publication Type:

Report

Authors:

Jared Bernstein

Source:

Economic Policy Institute (2008)

URL:

http://www.epi.org/webfeatures/viewpoints/20081024_jb_testimony.pdf

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Abstract:

Testimony of Jared Bernstein, Senior Economist at the Economic Policy Institute before the House Committee on Education and Labor hearing on “Building an Economic Recovery Package: Creating and Preserving Jobs in America,” October 24, 2008.

Promoting Equality Through an Employment of Last Resort Policy

Publication Type:

Report

Source:

The Levy Economics Institute (2008)

URL:

http://www.levy.org/pubs/wp_545.pdf

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Abstract:

To put an economy on an equitable growth path, economic development must be based on social efficiency, equity, and job creation. It has been shown that unemployment has far-reaching effects, all leading to an inequitable distribution of well-being. But many economists assume that unemployment tends toward a natural rate below which it cannot go without creating inflation. The paper considers a particular employment strategy: a government job creation program, such as an employment guarantee or employer-of-last-resort scheme, that would satisfy the noninflationary criteria. The paper analyzes the international experience of government job creation programs, with particular emphasis on the cases of Argentina and India. We conclude by considering the application of an employer-of-last-resort policy to the developing world and as a vehicle to meeting the Millennium Development Goals.

Main Street Recovery Program: A Substantial, Strategic and Sustained Plan for Economic Revival

Publication Type:

Report

Source:

(2008)

URL:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/9411047/Main-Street-Recovery-Program

Abstract:

Main Street Recovery Program

Our economy now faces the most serious crisis since the Great Depression. The financial crisis that was triggered by the bursting of the housing bubble has now spread to the real economy, and we face a sharp downturn that is spreading across the globe. A serious recession now seems unavoidable in the United States, as well as Europe and Japan. The developing world is already struggling with financial turmoil and economic decline. For the first time since the 1930s, we face a real risk of deep worldwide economic contraction.

Restoring economic growth will require a bold, multifaceted plan. This must begin with a recovery program for Main Street — substantial fiscal expansion to revive the real economy.

Full Text:

Main Street Recovery Program

Our economy now faces the most serious crisis since the Great Depression. The financial crisis that was triggered by the bursting of the housing bubble has now spread to the real economy, and we face a sharp downturn that is spreading across the globe. A serious recession now seems unavoidable in the United States, as well as Europe and Japan. The developing world is already struggling with financial turmoil and economic decline. For the first time since the 1930s, we face a real risk of deep worldwide economic contraction.

Restoring economic growth will require a bold, multifaceted plan. This must begin with a recovery program for Main Street — substantial fiscal expansion to revive the real economy.


Main Street Recovery Program

Infrastructure Investment and Economic Recovery

Publication Type:

Report

Source:

Economic Policy Institute (2008)

URL:

http://www.epi.org/webfeatures/testimony_20081029.pdf

Abstract:

Testimony of John S. Irons, Ph.D., and Policy Director at the Economic Policy Institute, before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure hearing on: “Infrastructure Investment and Economic Recovery,” October 29, 2008.

Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on a Post-Kaleckian model

Publication Type:

Report

Source:

(2008)

URL:

http://www.boeckler.de/pdf/p_imk_wp_18_2008.pdf

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Abstract:

Empirical research based on the Bhaduri/Marglin-variant of the Kaleckian model has recently shown that aggregate demand in many medium-sized and large open economies tends to be wage-led in the medium to long run, even in a period of increasing globalisation. In this paper we extend this type of analysis and integrate the effects on productivity growth, theoretically and empirically. Productivity growth is introduced into the theoretical model making use of the Verdoorn effect or of Kaldor’s technical progress function and hence of a positive relationship between GDP or capital stock growth and productivity growth. Further on, a costpush
or Marx/Hicks-effect and hence a positive impact of real wage growth or the wage share on productivity growth is taken into account. In the empirical part we estimate productivity growth equations for six countries introducing these two effects. Finally, economic policy conclusions are drawn.

The Second Report of the Congressional Oversight Panel

Publication Type:

Report

Authors:

N/A

Source:

(2009)

URL:

http://cop.senate.gov/documents/cop-010909-report.pdf

Abstract:

Read the latest from the COP on TARP.

Will Workers Survive State Budget Belt-Tightening?

Publication Type:

Report

Authors:

MATTHEW SHERMAN

Source:

Institute for America's Future, CEPR (2009)

Keywords:

Economic Recovery

Abstract:

Issue Brief : December 2008 takes up the job losses expected without proper allocations to states in the Economic Recovery Plan.